Explosion Risk Modelling Consequence Analysis & Process Safety
Expert explosion consequence modelling — blast overpressure calculations, thermal radiation analysis, toxic dispersion modelling and domino effect assessment. Essential for COMAH safety reports, emergency planning zones and major accident hazard management.
Modelling & Analysis Services
Quantitative consequence analysis for major accident scenarios.
Blast Overpressure
Calculation of explosion overpressure distances for VCE (vapour cloud explosions), confined explosions and dust explosions. Damage contours for building design and separation distances.
Thermal Radiation
Modelling of thermal radiation from pool fires, jet fires, fireballs and BLEVEs. Heat flux contours for emergency planning, building siting and escalation assessment.
Toxic Dispersion
Atmospheric dispersion modelling for toxic gas or vapour releases. Concentration contours for SLOT/SLOD, emergency planning zones and shelter-in-place decisions.
Domino Effect Assessment
Assessment of escalation potential between adjacent hazardous installations. Identification of credible domino scenarios and separation distance requirements.
Explosion Relief Design
Specification of explosion relief systems — vent panels, explosion doors, flameless venting — based on calculated overpressure and rate of pressure rise (Kst/KG values).
COMAH Safety Report Support
Consequence analysis and risk assessment inputs for COMAH safety reports. Major accident scenario identification, likelihood assessment and demonstration of ALARP.
Risk Assessments for Your Sector
Every industry has different hazards. We tailor every assessment to your specific sector and operations.
Factories & Warehousing
Machinery, forklift, racking, noiseTransport & Logistics
Depot safety, loading bays, vehiclesConstruction
CDM, excavations, heights, demolitionSchools & Education
Classrooms, labs, playgrounds, tripsCare & Healthcare
Patient handling, clinical, infectionChemical
Process safety, COSHH, DSEARHospitality
Kitchens, fire, slips, public safetySMEs & Offices
DSE, fire, general workplaceCharities
Events, lone working, volunteersHow We Carry Out a Risk Assessment
Scenario Definition
We identify credible major accident scenarios based on your DSEAR assessment, substance inventories, process conditions and historical incident data for your industry.
Source Term Analysis
We characterise each release scenario — substance properties, release rate, inventory, duration, conditions (temperature, pressure) and containment failure modes.
Consequence Modelling
We run quantitative models for each scenario — blast overpressure, thermal radiation, toxic dispersion — producing distance/damage contours.
Risk Assessment
We combine consequence data with likelihood estimates to produce risk contours and individual/societal risk assessments where required for COMAH.
Reporting & Recommendations
Comprehensive modelling report with scenario descriptions, input parameters, results, contour maps and practical recommendations for risk reduction.
Explosion Risk Modelling FAQ
When is explosion risk modelling needed?
For facilities handling large quantities of flammable or toxic substances — particularly COMAH sites requiring safety reports. Also for land-use planning consultations, building design near hazardous installations, explosion vent sizing and emergency planning zone definition.
What is COMAH?
The Control of Major Accident Hazards Regulations 2015. Applies to sites holding dangerous substances above specified thresholds. Lower-tier sites need a MAPP (Major Accident Prevention Policy). Upper-tier sites need a full safety report including consequence modelling.
What software do you use?
We use industry-standard consequence modelling tools validated against experimental data and accepted by HSE and the Competent Authority for COMAH submissions.
Can modelling reduce my COMAH obligations?
Modelling can demonstrate that actual risks are lower than conservative screening assessments might suggest — potentially affecting emergency planning zone extents and land-use planning advice. It provides the evidence base for proportionate risk management.
What is a BLEVE?
Boiling Liquid Expanding Vapour Explosion — a catastrophic failure of a vessel containing pressurised liquefied gas (e.g. LPG). BLEVEs produce fireballs with extreme thermal radiation. Modelling determines safe distances and fire impingement protection requirements.
Do you model dust explosions?
Yes. Using substance-specific Kst values (rate of pressure rise) and Pmax (maximum pressure), we model dust explosion consequences in process vessels, ductwork, silos and buildings. Essential for explosion vent design and suppression system specification.
How much does modelling cost?
Based on the number of scenarios, complexity and whether results are needed for COMAH, planning or internal purposes. Contact us for a scoping discussion.
Need Explosion Risk Modelling?
Get in touch for a free scoping discussion about your facility and modelling requirements.